1/338 0.21-1.41 n 在很多时候,08-29 21:05:49-08-29 21:05:50In many cases,
2/338 2.37-5.73 aaa 某一个市已经对我们产生了不利的倾向。08-29 21:05:50-08-29 21:05:52A certain city has developed a negative attitude towards us.
3/338 6.27-8.49 n 我们只有把事情搞大才,08-29 21:05:50-08-29 21:05:52We can only make things big,
4/338 8.73-10.41 hp 有挽回局面的可能性,08-29 21:05:51-08-29 21:05:54There is a chance to recover.
5/338 11.49-12.33 xss 把事情搞大。08-29 21:05:52-08-29 21:06:12Blow up the situation.
6/338 12.69-17.31 jd 最直接的手段就是把一个简单的事情搞复杂了,08-29 21:05:53-08-29 21:05:54The most direct way is to make a simple thing complicated.
7/338 18.75-21.63 n 经常有粉丝把遇到的困境说给我,08-29 21:05:53-08-29 21:05:56I often receive messages from fans about the difficulties they are facing.
8/338 21.93-24.87 aaa 今天我们聊聊博弈问题,08-29 21:05:54-08-29 21:05:56Today, let's talk about game theory.
9/338 25.35-26.73 n 一旦被复杂化,08-29 21:05:55-08-29 21:05:56Once complicated,
10/338 27.99-29.31 hp 问题往往就会变味,08-29 21:05:55-08-29 21:05:58Problems often change their flavor.
11/338 30.54-31.02 jd 问题一,08-29 21:05:56-08-29 21:05:57Question 1,
12/338 31.14-35.16 aaa 变位就一定会偏离问题本来的样子,08-29 21:05:57-08-29 21:05:58The changes will inevitably deviate from the original problem.
13/338 35.64-38.82 n 于是本来的问题就被模糊了,08-29 21:05:58-08-29 21:06:00As a result, the original problem was obscured.
14/338 39.36-39.9 n 遮蔽了,08-29 21:05:58-08-29 21:05:59Covered,
15/338 40.26-41.7 jd 甚至被篡改了。08-29 21:05:59-08-29 21:06:00Even been tampered with.
16/338 42.66-42.9 hp 因此,08-29 21:06:00-08-29 21:06:01Therefore,
17/338 43.2-47.1 aaa 解决问题最怕的是问题被复杂化了,08-29 21:06:00-08-29 21:06:03The most difficult thing to solve is when the problem becomes more complex.
18/338 48.18-49.68 n 而所谓的复杂化,08-29 21:06:01-08-29 21:06:03And the so-called complexity,
19/338 50.28-52.62 n 不过是纳入了更多的变量,08-29 21:06:02-08-29 21:06:03However, it only included more variables.
20/338 53.52-58.68 jd 或者是把本身与问题无关的变量进行了强塞硬绑。08-29 21:06:03-08-29 21:06:04Or, irrelevant variables were forcefully assigned values.
21/338 60.0-62.41 hp 翻译过来就是很多人为了博弈,08-29 21:06:03-08-29 21:06:06Many people play games for fun.
22/338 63.08-64.999 aaa 为了挽回不利的处境,08-29 21:06:04-08-29 21:06:05In order to turn the situation around,
23/338 65.7-67.68 n 主动把简单的问题复杂化。08-29 21:06:05-08-29 21:06:07Deliberately make simple questions complex.
24/338 68.27-73.21 n 而复杂化的本质就是强行塞入无关的变量,08-29 21:06:05-08-29 21:06:08The essence of complexity is to forcibly insert irrelevant variables.
25/338 73.98-75.84 jd 最终掩盖真正的矛盾,08-29 21:06:06-08-29 21:06:07Ultimately conceal the true conflict,
26/338 76.68-79.02 aaa 让原有问题得不到解决,08-29 21:06:07-08-29 21:06:08Let the original problem remain unsolved,
27/338 81.72-86.16 hp 或者让新问题朝着自己设定的方向发展,08-29 21:06:07-08-29 21:06:12Or, let the new question develop in a direction that you have set.
28/338 86.59-88.09 n 并得到自己的结果,08-29 21:06:08-08-29 21:06:09And obtain their own results,
29/338 89.39-93.46 jd 给自己给自己争取更多的空间,08-29 21:06:09-08-29 21:06:10Give yourself more space,
30/338 94.2-99.17 de 更多的时间来寻找对自己有利的那些变量。08-29 21:06:10-08-29 21:06:49More time to find the variables that are beneficial for you.
31/338 101.0-102.68 n 我们拆开来分析,08-29 21:06:10-08-29 21:06:12Let's break it down and analyze.
32/338 103.29-104.55 aaa 他具有三层逻辑,08-29 21:06:11-08-29 21:06:12He has three layers of logic.
33/338 105.08-106.63 de 第一层就是动机。08-29 21:06:12-08-29 21:06:37The first layer is motivation.
34/338 107.71-110.39 n 为什么有人要把事情搞大搞复杂?08-29 21:06:12-08-29 21:06:14Why do some people make things more complicated?
35/338 111.29-113.99 jd 当自己在事件里处于不利的位置,08-29 21:06:13-08-29 21:06:15When I am in an unfavorable position in an event,
36/338 114.99-117.93 n 直接在原事实原规则下,08-29 21:06:14-08-29 21:06:15Under the original factual basis rules,
37/338 118.29-118.83 hp 讲道理,08-29 21:06:14-08-29 21:06:17Speaking of which,
38/338 119.28-120.18 aaa 自己站不到底,08-29 21:06:15-08-29 21:06:17I can't stand on my own.
39/338 121.13-122.27 xss 很难翻盘,08-29 21:06:16-08-29 21:06:41It's hard to turn the tide.
40/338 123.25-124.69 n 直接解决原问题,08-29 21:06:17-08-29 21:06:18Solve the original problem directly,
41/338 124.99-127.51 jd 对自己不利于是选择,08-29 21:06:17-08-29 21:06:19So, I choose to be against myself.
42/338 128.17-129.49 n 不就事论事,08-29 21:06:18-08-29 21:06:20Don't just focus on the immediate situation,
43/338 130.43-132.41 de 不去直面原本的问题,08-29 21:11:20-08-29 21:11:31Avoid confronting the original problem,
44/338 133.37-136.67 aaa 而是通过引入大量的无关因素,08-29 21:06:19-08-29 21:06:21Instead, by introducing a large number of irrelevant factors.
45/338 137.32-138.9 hp 把事情较复杂了,08-29 21:06:20-08-29 21:06:23Made things more complicated,
46/338 139.66-141.82 n 寄希望于局势混乱之后,08-29 21:06:21-08-29 21:06:23Hoping for the situation to become chaotic after,
47/338 142.56-145.04 jd 获得翻盘挽回局面的机会。08-29 21:06:22-08-29 21:06:23To gain the opportunity to turn the situation around.
48/338 146.09-146.33 n 第二,08-29 21:06:22-08-29 21:06:23Second,
49/338 146.9-150.19 aaa 手段复杂化是怎么实现的?08-29 21:06:23-08-29 21:06:24How is the complexity of methods achieved?
50/338 150.68-151.64 hp 复杂化不是问题,08-29 21:06:24-08-29 21:06:26Complexity is not a problem.
51/338 151.88-153.44 n 本身自带很多细节。08-29 21:06:24-08-29 21:06:26It has many details built in.
52/338 154.15-160.59 n 二是人为操作应加入很多和核心矛盾无关的变量,08-29 21:06:25-08-29 21:06:28Secondly, the artificial operation should include many variables that are irrelevant to the core conflict.
53/338 161.13-164.85 jd 把无关因素强行绑定到这件事上。08-29 21:06:26-08-29 21:06:28Force irrelevant factors to be associated with this matter.
54/338 165.64-169.51 aaa 原本问题只有 a 这是一个核心变量,08-29 21:06:26-08-29 21:06:29The original problem was that there was only one variable, 'a', which was a core variable.
55/338 170.2-174.43 n 人为加上 b c d 一堆无关的变量。08-29 21:06:28-08-29 21:06:30Add irrelevant variables b, c, and d.
56/338 174.94-181.81 hp 事情就从 a 该不该变成了 a 加 b 加 c 加 d 到底谁对谁错?08-29 21:06:29-08-29 21:06:38The situation has evolved from a simple question of "should we or shouldn't we" to a complex debate about who is right and wrong, with options A, B, C, and D.
57/338 182.73-182.91 jd 第三,08-29 21:06:29-08-29 21:06:30Third,
58/338 183.53-185.14 n 结果复杂化,08-29 21:06:30-08-29 21:06:31The results are complex,
59/338 185.32-187.65 aaa 带来到破坏问题,08-29 21:06:31-08-29 21:06:32Bring to the problem of destruction,
60/338 187.95-188.37 n 变味儿、08-29 21:06:32-08-29 21:06:32Change flavor,
61/338 189.06-189.84 jd 焦点转移。08-29 21:06:32-08-29 21:06:33Focus shift.
62/338 190.38-194.819 n 原本真正要解决的 a 被一堆新增信息遮蔽、08-29 21:06:33-08-29 21:06:36The original "a" was obscured by a lot of new information.
63/338 195.41-196.43 aaa 模糊篡改,08-29 21:06:34-08-29 21:06:35Obscure alteration,
64/338 197.18-200.54 n 大家不再讨论原本的是非转而争吵。08-29 21:06:34-08-29 21:06:37People no longer discuss the original issue, but argue about it.
65/338 200.84-207.23 jd 新增出来的 b c d 最后炒完新增的矛盾吵成一团。08-29 21:06:35-08-29 21:06:39The newly added characters B, C, and D, after finishing their respective tasks, got into a quarrel and ended up fighting.
66/338 207.81-211.31 aaa 最初那个真正的问题被彻底搁置,08-29 21:06:36-08-29 21:06:38The original, truly important question was completely shelved.
67/338 211.76-212.42 n 得不到处理。08-29 21:06:37-08-29 21:06:38Unprocessed.
68/338 214.34-214.58 de 比如,08-29 21:06:38-08-29 21:06:48For example,
69/338 216.04-219.43 n 原问题是村干部违规发包了一块土地,08-29 21:06:38-08-29 21:06:42The original problem was that the village cadres violated regulations by awarding a piece of land.
70/338 220.19-222.71 aaa 村干部无法否认发包程序违法,08-29 21:06:39-08-29 21:06:41Village officials cannot deny the illegal bidding process.
71/338 223.34-224.78 n 于是开始复杂化,08-29 21:06:40-08-29 21:06:41Then it became complicated.
72/338 225.55-226.81 hp 绑定无关的变量。08-29 21:06:40-08-29 21:06:43Bind unrelated variables.
73/338 227.44-228.82 jd 你是故意在找茬儿,08-29 21:06:41-08-29 21:06:43Are you deliberately trying to stir up trouble?
74/338 229.15-230.74 aaa 是竞争对手派来的,08-29 21:06:42-08-29 21:06:43It was sent by a competitor.
75/338 231.22-232.12 xss 你态度很差,08-29 21:06:43-08-29 21:07:00You are very rude.
76/338 232.99-233.71 n 言语过激。08-29 21:06:43-08-29 21:06:44Aggressive speech.
77/338 234.37-234.97 n 二十年前,08-29 21:06:44-08-29 21:06:45Twenty years ago,
78/338 235.39-238.89 jd 你和他吵过架是来报复的等等等等。08-29 21:06:45-08-29 21:06:48You and him had a fight, and it's all about revenge, etc.
79/338 239.5-241.36 hp 舆论焦点立刻转移,08-29 21:06:45-08-29 21:06:49The focus of public opinion immediately shifted.
80/338 241.72-243.16 aaa 不再讨论程序违规,08-29 21:06:46-08-29 21:06:47No longer discussing program violations.
81/338 243.7-245.02 n 转而争论你的动机、08-29 21:06:47-08-29 21:06:49Instead, argue about your motives.
82/338 245.77-246.61 n 说话态度、08-29 21:06:48-08-29 21:06:49Attitude, speech
83/338 247.37-250.2 bg 程序违规这个本源问题被遮蔽。08-29 21:06:48-08-29 21:07:29The underlying problem of program violation is obscured.
84/338 250.72-252.46 jd 很多人开始批判你的态度,08-29 21:06:50-08-29 21:06:51Many people are starting to criticize your attitude.
85/338 253.07-255.65 aaa 而忽略程序违规本身的过错,08-29 21:11:51-08-29 21:11:53And ignore the fault of violating the program itself.
86/338 256.34-258.2 de 这是他们惯用的剂量。08-29 21:06:51-08-29 21:07:17This is their usual dosage.
87/338 259.12-260.32 hp 但是反过来呢,08-29 21:06:52-08-29 21:06:55However, what about the reverse?
88/338 260.74-262.78 n 如果我们挨了欺负,08-29 21:06:53-08-29 21:06:53If we are bullied,
89/338 263.42-264.44 de 也使用这种方法,08-29 21:06:53-08-29 21:07:18Also, this method is used.
90/338 264.68-267.89 n 把事情搞大把事情搞复杂化,08-29 21:06:54-08-29 21:06:56Exaggerate things, make them more complicated.
91/338 268.37-270.71 aaa 为自己争取更多的变量。08-29 21:06:55-08-29 21:06:56Strive for more variables.
92/338 271.51-275.55 jd 这套逻辑讲的是刻意搅浑水的复杂化,08-29 21:06:55-08-29 21:06:57This set of logic is about deliberately creating confusion and complexity.
93/338 276.14-279.08 n 不是说一件事不能考虑背景,08-29 21:06:56-08-29 21:06:59It's not that a thing can't be considered in the context,
94/338 279.66-282.18 hp 有些背景是和事件直接相关的,08-29 21:06:57-08-29 21:07:00Some of the background is directly related to the event,
95/338 282.78-286.57 n 属于有效变量是需要纳入思考的。08-29 21:06:58-08-29 21:07:00The valid variables need to be considered.
96/338 287.24-288.86 aaa 只有那些和当下事件,08-29 21:06:58-08-29 21:07:00Only those who are connected to the current events,
97/338 289.039-289.76 jd 没有因果,08-29 21:06:59-08-29 21:07:00No cause and effect,
98/338 290.18-292.1 n 专门用来转移焦点的,08-29 21:07:00-08-29 21:07:02Specifically designed to divert attention,
99/338 292.52-295.88 n 才是开头说的强塞硬膀的变量,08-29 21:07:01-08-29 21:07:03The key is the variable that was mentioned at the beginning,
100/338 297.1-298.84 aaa 有意为之的复杂化。08-29 21:07:02-08-29 21:07:03The increasing complexity of the intention.
101/338 299.65-303.01 jd 其前提是已经洞察问题本身,08-29 21:07:02-08-29 21:07:04The premise is that the problem itself has been understood.
102/338 303.82-307.36 hp 但按照问题本来的样子解决问题,08-29 21:07:03-08-29 21:07:07But, if we solve the problem as it originally was,
103/338 308.1-309.899 xss 与自己并无益处,08-29 21:07:04-08-29 21:07:32It's not beneficial to oneself,
104/338 310.63-312.01 n 甚至会处于被动。08-29 21:07:04-08-29 21:07:06Even more so, it can be passive.
105/338 312.66-314.62 aaa 于是把问题搞复杂,08-29 21:07:05-08-29 21:07:06So, complicate the problem.
106/338 315.17-318.14 n 是为了给自己争取更多的博弈空间,08-29 21:07:06-08-29 21:07:07To gain more room for maneuvering,
107/338 319.83-322.47 jd 而要让问题不在某个角度,08-29 21:07:06-08-29 21:07:08And to make the problem not from a certain angle,
108/338 322.71-324.39 aaa 某个维度就解决掉。08-29 21:07:07-08-29 21:07:08Solve one dimension.
109/338 325.12-328.05 n 因为在别人设定的那个视角,08-29 21:07:08-08-29 21:07:09Because from the perspective set by others,
110/338 328.41-330.21 hp 那个维度对你是不利的。08-29 21:07:08-08-29 21:07:11That dimension is not favorable to you.
111/338 330.72-332.699 n 那么就要引入更多的视角,08-29 21:07:09-08-29 21:07:10Then we need to introduce more perspectives.
112/338 333.34-334.48 jd 更高的维度。08-29 21:07:09-08-29 21:07:11Higher dimension.
113/338 335.25-335.79 aaa 只有这样,08-29 21:07:10-08-29 21:07:11Only in this way,
114/338 335.97-339.5 n 才能让问题进入多重的解释空间中。08-29 21:07:11-08-29 21:07:14This allows the problem to enter a multi-layered interpretation space.
115/338 340.73-348.62 n 这种复杂化前提是个体必须对问题本来的解释空间有精准的识别,08-29 21:07:11-08-29 21:07:16This complex premise requires individuals to have a precise understanding of the space in which problems are explained.
116/338 349.89-352.0 jd 同时引入的视角和维度,08-29 21:07:12-08-29 21:07:14Introducing multiple perspectives and dimensions at the same time.
117/338 352.86-355.14 aaa 具备更高级的说服机制,08-29 21:07:13-08-29 21:07:14Possess more advanced persuasion mechanisms,
118/338 355.73-359.33 hp 或者说有更多的正当性背书,08-29 21:07:13-08-29 21:07:17Or, it has more legitimate backing.
119/338 361.79-369.17 jd 主动有意的复杂化博弈和无意的把事情搅乱有本质的区别。08-29 21:07:14-08-29 21:07:19The key difference between a deliberate and complex game and an unintentional one is that the former is intentional and complex, while the latter is unintentional and chaotic.
120/338 369.649-371.39 aaa 这是这不是糊涂,08-29 21:07:15-08-29 21:07:16This is not a joke,
121/338 371.81-373.37 n 是清醒的策略。08-29 21:07:16-08-29 21:07:18It's a clear strategy.
122/338 373.97-376.97 n 我们也可以把它拆解成四层底层逻辑。08-29 21:07:16-08-29 21:07:19We can also break it down into four layers of underlying logic.
123/338 377.93-380.51 aaa 第一前提看透原问题,08-29 21:07:17-08-29 21:07:19First, understand the root cause of the problem.
124/338 380.93-384.11 hp 但是原规则下自己要吃亏,08-29 21:07:18-08-29 21:07:22However, under the original rules, you would be at a disadvantage.
125/338 384.71-386.15 de 当事人完全清楚,08-29 21:07:18-08-29 21:07:40The person involved is fully aware.
126/338 386.33-387.47 n 事实清楚。08-29 21:07:19-08-29 21:07:20The facts are clear.
127/338 387.83-389.75 aaa 原由评判的标准,08-29 21:07:20-08-29 21:07:20Criteria for judging,
128/338 390.77-395.34 de 如果在在现有视角现有规则框架内完成或者解决,08-29 21:07:20-08-29 21:08:03If it can be completed or solved within the existing perspective and rule framework,
129/338 395.76-398.82 jd 自己就会疏会被动利益受损。08-29 21:07:21-08-29 21:07:23If you don't take action, you will be passive and suffer from the resulting losses.
130/338 399.42-401.34 n 他不是看不懂问题,08-29 21:07:21-08-29 21:07:23He doesn't understand the problem.
131/338 401.82-404.52 n 而是不想接受这个框架线的结果。08-29 21:07:22-08-29 21:07:25Instead, they don't want to accept the results of this framework.
132/338 405.36-409.56 aaa 于是主动打破别人给定的评定标准,08-29 21:07:23-08-29 21:07:24Therefore, actively break the assessment standards given by others.
133/338 410.28-411.66 hp 目的不是求真,08-29 21:07:23-08-29 21:07:26The purpose is not to be true.
134/338 411.96-413.64 n 而是扩大博弈空间,08-29 21:07:24-08-29 21:07:26Instead, expand the game space.
135/338 414.24-416.34 jd 争取对自己有利的结果。08-29 21:07:25-08-29 21:07:26Strive for a favorable outcome.
136/338 417.18-417.42 aaa 第二,08-29 21:07:25-08-29 21:07:26Second,
137/338 417.78-423.04 n 核心的动作拒绝在对方设定的维度里被定掉。08-29 21:07:26-08-29 21:07:29The core action is not defined within the dimensions set by the other party.
138/338 423.75-424.11 n 冲突里,08-29 21:07:27-08-29 21:07:28In the conflict,
139/338 424.97-428.27 aaa 每一件事都自带着一个默认评判视角,08-29 21:07:27-08-29 21:07:29Every event comes with a default judgmental perspective.
140/338 429.15-429.87 jd 谁对谁错。08-29 21:07:28-08-29 21:07:29Who is right and who is wrong.
141/338 430.41-431.85 hp 按什么标准算?08-29 21:07:29-08-29 21:07:31What are the criteria?
142/338 432.91-434.71 n 这个视角往往是由事实、08-29 21:07:29-08-29 21:07:31This perspective is often based on facts,
143/338 435.07-435.31 aaa 制度、08-29 21:07:30-08-29 21:07:31System,
144/338 435.73-435.91 bg 常识、08-29 21:07:31-08-29 21:07:48Common sense,
145/338 436.6-438.22 n 现有规则确立的。08-29 21:07:31-08-29 21:07:32The rules are established.
146/338 439.36-441.64 jd 如果这个既定维度对自己不利,08-29 21:07:32-08-29 21:07:33If this is disadvantageous to me,
147/338 442.3-445.24 aaa 就不能顺着这个框架去辩论。08-29 21:07:33-08-29 21:07:34I can't argue with you using this framework.
148/338 446.95-448.15 n 一旦接受这个框架,08-29 21:07:33-08-29 21:07:34Once this framework is accepted,
149/338 448.45-451.55 hp 很容易直接被判定结果对策呢。08-29 21:07:34-08-29 21:07:38It's easy to directly determine the result and countermeasure.
150/338 452.18-455.24 xss 主动新增视角抬升维度,08-29 21:07:35-08-29 21:08:03Add an active perspective to raise the dimension,
151/338 456.08-461.94 n 把单一维度的是非变成多维度可以解读的事件。08-29 21:07:35-08-29 21:07:38Transform single-dimensional binary events into multi-dimensional, interpretable events.
152/338 463.0-463.24 jd 第三,08-29 21:07:36-08-29 21:07:36Third,
153/338 463.72-467.21 n 效果制造多重解释空间。08-29 21:07:37-08-29 21:07:38Creates multiple interpretation spaces.
154/338 468.29-471.35 jd 原本这件事只有一种主流合理的解释,08-29 21:07:38-08-29 21:07:40Originally, there was only one mainstream and reasonable explanation for this matter.
155/338 471.89-473.27 n 引入新维度之后,08-29 21:07:39-08-29 21:07:40After introducing a new dimension,
156/338 473.69-475.55 n 一件事可以从 a 角度看,08-29 21:07:39-08-29 21:07:41One thing can be viewed from a certain angle.
157/338 476.09-476.75 hp b 角度看,08-29 21:07:40-08-29 21:07:42From a certain perspective,
158/338 477.11-477.83 aaa c 角度看,08-29 21:07:41-08-29 21:07:42From a certain perspective,
159/338 478.13-481.49 jd 甚至 d 角度看是非不再清晰,08-29 21:07:41-08-29 21:07:44Even from the perspective of d, the distinction between right and wrong is no longer clear.
160/338 482.27-483.71 n 不再能一锤定印。08-29 21:07:42-08-29 21:07:44No longer can it be decided with a single blow.
161/338 484.19-486.05 de 原本可以直接下的结论失效,08-29 21:07:43-08-29 21:08:21The original conclusion, which could be directly drawn, is no longer valid.
162/338 486.53-487.97 n 博弈就此展开。08-29 21:07:43-08-29 21:07:45The game is now underway.
163/338 489.29-489.53 xss 第四,08-29 21:12:46-08-29 21:12:56Fourth,
164/338 489.95-494.57 aaa 关键条件新增的视角必须有正当性背书,08-29 21:07:45-08-29 21:07:46The newly added key conditions must have a legitimate basis.
165/338 495.17-497.69 hp 不是随便扯一个理由就能搅局,08-29 21:07:45-08-29 21:07:50It's not just about making up a reason to stir things up.
166/338 499.19-499.85 jd 胡乱塞,08-29 21:07:46-08-29 21:07:47Stuffing,
167/338 500.57-501.35 n 无关理由,08-29 21:07:47-08-29 21:07:47Irrelevant reasons,
168/338 501.77-503.33 n 很容易被识破,08-29 21:07:47-08-29 21:07:48Easily detectable,
169/338 503.81-505.19 aaa 会显得胡搅蛮缠。08-29 21:07:48-08-29 21:07:49It will appear aggressive and confrontational.
170/338 506.09-508.49 jd 拿出来的新视角新维度,08-29 21:07:49-08-29 21:07:50New perspective and new dimension,
171/338 508.97-511.74 n 它必须自带道德情理、08-29 21:07:49-08-29 21:07:51It must have its own moral principles.
172/338 512.04-512.28 bg 制度、08-29 21:07:50-08-29 21:08:04System,
173/338 512.58-514.86 n 群体利益等正当的外衣,08-29 21:07:51-08-29 21:07:52Covering up collective interests or other legitimate reasons,
174/338 517.02-519.0 aaa 具备说服别人的力量,08-29 21:07:51-08-29 21:07:53Have the power to persuade others,
175/338 519.54-522.18 hp 才能撬动原有的结论。08-29 21:07:52-08-29 21:07:55Only then can the original conclusion be overturned.
176/338 522.96-524.1 jd 简单的概括一下,08-29 21:07:53-08-29 21:07:54Here's a brief summary:
177/338 524.28-526.98 n 就是我打不赢你定下的擂台,08-29 21:07:53-08-29 21:07:57It's just that I can't win the arena you set up.
178/338 527.22-530.58 n 那我就重新搭建一个更高更大的擂台。08-29 21:07:54-08-29 21:07:57Then I will rebuild a higher and larger platform.
179/338 531.24-534.24 aaa 而且这个新擂台还要看上去非常合理,08-29 21:07:55-08-29 21:07:57Moreover, this new arena must also look very realistic.
180/338 534.6-536.52 jd 让旁人愿意站在我这边。08-29 21:07:55-08-29 21:07:57Make others willing to stand on my side.
181/338 537.6-541.03 hp 但凡以此种方式把问题搞复杂,08-29 21:07:56-08-29 21:08:00As long as you make the problem complicated in this way,
182/338 541.39-542.53 aaa 都不是普通人,08-29 21:07:57-08-29 21:07:58They are not ordinary people.
183/338 542.89-545.89 n 而是具备一套复杂的解决问题能力。08-29 21:07:58-08-29 21:08:01Instead, it possesses a complex problem-solving ability.
184/338 546.13-550.45 n 系统的高手博弈论有双赢单赢,08-29 21:07:59-08-29 21:08:02The master of the system's game theory has both win-win and single-win.
185/338 550.63-553.33 jd 也就是零合双输三种策略。08-29 21:07:59-08-29 21:08:02These are the three strategies: zero-sum, two-sum, and three-sum.
186/338 554.35-557.59 aaa 现实很多博弈不是先天固定类型。08-29 21:08:00-08-29 21:08:02Many real-world games are not fixed types.
187/338 557.95-562.33 hp 同一个事件可以通过策略选择走向双赢,08-29 21:08:01-08-29 21:08:06The same event can be achieved through strategic choices, leading to a win-win outcome.
188/338 562.69-566.05 n 或者单赢或者双输结合。08-29 21:08:02-08-29 21:08:04Either a single winner or a combination of two losers.
189/338 566.23-568.63 aaa 前面说的人为复杂化博弈,08-29 21:08:03-08-29 21:08:05The people who talked about the complex game of human interaction,
190/338 569.29-572.84 jd 很多人正是通过改变博弈的维度,08-29 21:08:04-08-29 21:08:05Many people change the dimensions of the game,
191/338 573.2-576.74 n 把博弈从一种形态切换成另一种形态。08-29 21:08:04-08-29 21:08:06Switch from one form of game to another.
192/338 578.0-579.68 de 我们说我们看单赢,08-29 21:08:05-08-29 21:08:35We say we are looking for a single winner.
193/338 580.04-581.12 xss 也就是零和博弈,08-29 21:08:06-08-29 21:08:33This is a zero-sum game.
194/338 581.54-582.74 n 一方赢一方输。08-29 21:08:06-08-29 21:08:08One wins, one loses.
195/338 583.34-585.32 bg 核心呢总量不变,08-29 21:08:07-08-29 21:08:38The total number of core remains unchanged.
196/338 586.1-587.78 aaa 利益是抢夺出来的,08-29 21:08:08-08-29 21:08:09Interests are won through competition.
197/338 588.14-589.46 jd 不是创造出来的。08-29 21:08:09-08-29 21:08:09Not created.
198/338 590.12-593.24 n 一方全部收益来自另一方的损失,08-29 21:08:09-08-29 21:08:12All the profits come from one side, and all losses come from the other.
199/338 593.66-595.04 hp 没有共同增量,08-29 21:08:10-08-29 21:08:12No common ground,
200/338 598.09-598.81 jd 再看双赢,08-29 21:13:13-08-29 21:13:14Look again for win-win,
201/338 599.17-600.49 n 也就是正和博弈,08-29 21:08:11-08-29 21:08:13It's a game of strategy,
202/338 600.85-601.81 aaa 双方都获益。08-29 21:08:12-08-29 21:08:13Both sides benefit.
203/338 602.26-604.21 jd 核心是做大蛋糕,08-29 21:08:13-08-29 21:08:14The core is to make a big cake.
204/338 604.99-605.65 hp 创造增量,08-29 21:08:13-08-29 21:08:15Create incremental,
205/338 606.01-607.39 n 双方收益都提升,08-29 21:08:14-08-29 21:08:15Both parties benefit,
206/338 608.09-608.93 aaa 不一定均等,08-29 21:08:15-08-29 21:08:16Not necessarily equal.
207/338 609.48-612.18 n 但刀笔博弈前更好,08-29 21:08:15-08-29 21:08:18But the game of chess and Go were better before.
208/338 613.11-614.55 jd 不是大家拿一样多,08-29 21:08:16-08-29 21:08:18It's not about everyone having the same amount.
209/338 614.85-616.29 n 而是没有人受损。08-29 21:08:17-08-29 21:08:18But no one was harmed.
210/338 617.04-617.82 hp 整体收益。08-29 21:08:17-08-29 21:08:19Overall profit.
211/338 618.06-621.42 aaa 它在增加实现双赢的条件是,08-29 21:08:18-08-29 21:08:20It is in increasing the conditions for achieving win-win,
212/338 622.37-622.61 n 第一,08-29 21:08:19-08-29 21:08:19First,
213/338 623.09-625.31 jd 存在可开发的增量空间。08-29 21:08:19-08-29 21:08:21There is room for further development.
214/338 625.9-626.14 n 第二,08-29 21:08:20-08-29 21:08:21Second,
215/338 626.72-628.52 hp 可以交换各自的优势资源。08-29 21:08:21-08-29 21:08:23Can exchange their respective advantages.
216/338 628.98-629.16 n 第三,08-29 21:08:21-08-29 21:08:22Third,
217/338 629.74-632.08 aaa 有最低限度的信任,08-29 21:08:22-08-29 21:08:23There is a minimum level of trust.
218/338 632.74-633.94 n 防止对方背叛、08-29 21:08:23-08-29 21:08:24Prevent betrayal,
219/338 634.36-634.9 jd 收割自己。08-29 21:08:24-08-29 21:08:24Harvest yourself.
220/338 636.1-637.9 de 在囚徒困境中,08-29 21:08:24-08-29 21:08:45In the Prisoner's Dilemma,
221/338 639.28-641.44 n 如果可以反复播弈,08-29 21:08:25-08-29 21:08:26If it can be replayed,
222/338 641.99-642.47 hp 有约束,08-29 21:08:26-08-29 21:08:28Restrained,
223/338 642.89-645.24 aaa 就有可能跳出背叛,08-29 21:08:26-08-29 21:08:27There is a possibility of betrayal.
224/338 645.54-646.14 n 走向双赢。08-29 21:08:27-08-29 21:08:28Move towards win-win.
225/338 647.1-647.82 jd 再看双书,08-29 21:08:28-08-29 21:08:29Look at the two books again.
226/338 648.12-649.32 n 也就是复合博弈,08-29 21:08:28-08-29 21:08:30It is a game of mixed strategies.
227/338 649.74-650.52 aaa 双方都受损,08-29 21:08:29-08-29 21:08:30Both sides suffered losses.
228/338 651.53-653.15 hp 核心市冲突,08-29 21:08:30-08-29 21:08:32Core city conflict,
229/338 653.45-653.63 n 内耗,08-29 21:08:30-08-29 21:08:31Internal conflict,
230/338 654.23-655.37 jd 总收益为负。08-29 21:08:31-08-29 21:08:32Total revenue is negative.
231/338 656.19-659.31 n 就算有一方勉强看上去赢了,08-29 21:08:32-08-29 21:08:33Even if one side seems to be winning,
232/338 660.21-664.53 aaa 付出的代价也远超得到的整体是亏损的,08-29 21:08:32-08-29 21:08:35The cost is far greater than the overall benefit, resulting in a net loss.
233/338 665.01-666.51 n 也就是杀敌一千,08-29 21:08:33-08-29 21:08:35That's like killing one enemy for every thousand.
234/338 666.93-667.65 hp 自损八百。08-29 21:08:34-08-29 21:08:36Self-harm.
235/338 668.49-669.51 jd 比如邻里吵架、08-29 21:08:34-08-29 21:08:35For example, neighborhood disputes,
236/338 669.93-670.53 xss 微件小事,08-29 21:08:35-08-29 21:08:52Small incidents,
237/338 670.71-671.73 n 互相投诉拉扯,08-29 21:08:36-08-29 21:08:37Mutual complaints and disputes,
238/338 671.91-673.53 n 消耗大量的时间和情绪,08-29 21:08:36-08-29 21:08:38Consume a lot of time and emotions,
239/338 674.25-676.53 aaa 最后谁又没有得到实际的好处,08-29 21:08:37-08-29 21:08:38Who didn't actually benefit from it?
240/338 677.13-678.33 de 生活都被干扰。08-29 21:08:37-08-29 21:08:56Life is being disrupted.
241/338 678.75-681.03 jd 再比如商业价格战,08-29 21:08:38-08-29 21:08:40For example, the price war in the business world,
242/338 681.39-682.83 hp 两家企业疯狂降价,08-29 21:08:39-08-29 21:08:42Two companies are going crazy with price cuts.
243/338 683.01-683.43 n 抢市场,08-29 21:08:40-08-29 21:08:40Grab the market,
244/338 684.15-685.41 n 利润全部打,08-29 21:08:40-08-29 21:08:41All profits are gone.
245/338 685.59-687.57 bg 没双方都亏损,08-29 21:08:41-08-29 21:09:06Without both parties losing,
246/338 687.93-691.36 aaa 这就是典型的负荷囚徒困境。08-29 21:08:42-08-29 21:08:44This is a classic example of the Prisoner's Dilemma.
247/338 691.72-697.84 jd 两个人都选择背叛双双重叛经典的双输结局。08-29 21:08:42-08-29 21:08:45Both chose to betray in the classic double betrayal, resulting in a double loss.
248/338 698.98-703.12 n 很多双输来源于赌气报复,08-29 21:08:43-08-29 21:08:46Many of the problems in Shuangxi originate from gambling and revenge.
249/338 703.48-704.32 n 宁可自己受损,08-29 21:08:44-08-29 21:08:45I'd rather suffer myself.
250/338 704.68-706.12 hp 也要惩罚对方,08-29 21:08:44-08-29 21:08:47Also punish the other party,
251/338 706.96-708.52 aaa 担心对方占便宜。08-29 21:08:45-08-29 21:08:46Worried about being taken advantage of.
252/338 708.76-709.0 jd 所以,08-29 21:08:46-08-29 21:08:47So,
253/338 709.6-710.68 de 优先选择对抗,08-29 21:08:47-08-29 21:09:01Prioritize confrontation,
254/338 711.16-713.62 n 哪怕损害自身长远的利益,08-29 21:08:48-08-29 21:08:50Even if it means sacrificing long-term interests,
255/338 714.64-720.35 n 当事人在缘维度对自己不利于是引入了新视角维度,08-29 21:08:48-08-29 21:08:52When the party is at a disadvantage in terms of fate, it introduces a new perspective dimension.
256/338 720.59-721.55 aaa 扩大博弈空间。08-29 21:08:49-08-29 21:08:50Expand the game space.
257/338 722.03-724.73 hp 这个操作本质就是改变博弈的类型。08-29 21:08:50-08-29 21:08:53This operation essentially changes the type of game.
258/338 725.69-728.93 jd 关于关于博弈论有双赢、08-29 21:08:50-08-29 21:08:52Regarding the game theory, there are win-win,
259/338 729.29-731.21 aaa 单赢双输三种策略。08-29 21:08:51-08-29 21:08:52Single Win, Double Loss: Three Strategies.
260/338 732.23-735.53 n 有一个乞丐与饭店老板的经典故事,08-29 21:08:52-08-29 21:08:54A classic story about a beggar and the restaurant owner.
261/338 736.49-739.37 jd 一名乞丐每天到饭店门口要有点吃的,08-29 21:08:53-08-29 21:08:55A beggar goes to the door of the restaurant every day to ask for food.
262/338 739.73-743.51 xss 饭店老板呢都会给他双方相安无事。08-29 21:08:53-08-29 21:09:32The hotel owner will ensure that both sides are safe.
263/338 744.05-745.85 n 乞丐每天有点吃的,08-29 21:08:54-08-29 21:08:55The beggar has something to eat every day.
264/338 746.21-747.71 aaa 饭店呢正常经营,08-29 21:08:55-08-29 21:08:56The restaurant is operating normally.
265/338 748.55-749.45 hp 乞丐盘旋着,08-29 21:08:55-08-29 21:08:58The beggar was circling,
266/338 749.94-751.98 n 不用漫无目的的到处乞讨,08-29 21:08:56-08-29 21:08:58Don't wander aimlessly and beg for scraps.
267/338 752.34-755.64 jd 每天能拿到稳定的拿到一些吃的。08-29 21:08:57-08-29 21:08:59To be able to get a stable supply of food every day.
268/338 756.24-758.4 n 比之前是有食无的,08-29 21:08:57-08-29 21:08:59There was food, but it wasn't enough.
269/338 758.7-762.36 aaa 好多老板也盘算花很小的成本,08-29 21:08:58-08-29 21:09:00Many bosses are also considering spending a small amount of money,
270/338 762.96-763.44 de 换门口,08-29 21:08:58-08-29 21:09:19Change the door,
271/338 763.86-766.2 hp 环境的清净客源也不受影响。08-29 21:08:59-08-29 21:09:03The environment is also unaffected by the influx of tourists.
272/338 766.74-769.38 n 两个人都比博弈之前更好,08-29 21:09:00-08-29 21:09:01Both are better than before the game.
273/338 770.1-771.06 jd 总收益为正,08-29 21:09:01-08-29 21:09:02Total profit is positive.
274/338 771.9-773.46 n 所以属于双赢。08-29 21:09:01-08-29 21:09:03Therefore, it's a win-win situation.
275/338 774.36-774.72 aaa 有一天,08-29 21:09:02-08-29 21:09:03One day,
276/338 774.84-776.04 n 饭店老板不耐烦了,08-29 21:09:03-08-29 21:09:04The hotel owner was impatient.
277/338 776.88-779.34 jd 直接强硬的驱赶期待,08-29 21:09:03-08-29 21:09:05Direct and forceful expulsion,
278/338 780.07-782.35 de 不允许他靠近自己饭店的门口,08-29 21:09:04-08-29 21:09:46He was not allowed to approach the entrance of his own restaurant.
279/338 783.07-784.03 aaa 乞丐被赶走,08-29 21:09:05-08-29 21:09:06The beggar was kicked out.
280/338 784.69-785.89 hp 得不到任何食物。08-29 21:09:06-08-29 21:09:08No food.
281/338 786.79-789.97 n 饭店门口呢也不再受膝丐的影响,08-29 21:09:06-08-29 21:09:09The entrance of the hotel is no longer affected by beggars.
282/338 791.11-792.31 n 生意也不受损。08-29 21:09:07-08-29 21:09:09Business is not affected.
283/338 793.27-793.87 jd 反过来呢,08-29 21:09:08-08-29 21:09:09On the other hand,
284/338 794.59-796.51 aaa 乞丐赢老板输,08-29 21:09:08-08-29 21:09:10The beggar wins, the boss loses.
285/338 796.93-798.91 bg 乞丐天天堵在饭店门口,08-29 21:09:09-08-29 21:09:47The beggar was always blocking the entrance of the restaurant.
286/338 799.63-801.37 hp 就蹲在进门位置。08-29 21:09:10-08-29 21:09:13He was squatting in the doorway.
287/338 801.73-805.45 n 客人看到乞丐都不愿意进店老板的生意受损,08-29 21:09:10-08-29 21:09:14Customers are reluctant to enter the store because they see beggars, and the boss's business is affected.
288/338 805.87-806.83 jd 这就是单营,08-29 21:09:11-08-29 21:09:12This is a single-person operation.
289/338 807.07-808.21 n 也就是零和博弈。08-29 21:09:12-08-29 21:09:14It is a zero-sum game.
290/338 809.17-810.74 aaa 当矛盾越来越激化,08-29 21:09:13-08-29 21:09:14When the conflict is escalating,
291/338 811.04-812.36 jd 谁也说不服谁,08-29 21:09:13-08-29 21:09:15No one can say that someone is not satisfied.
292/338 812.9-815.12 hp 于是双输的局面就出现了,08-29 21:09:14-08-29 21:09:18As a result, the situation became a double loss.
293/338 815.54-818.119 aaa 他就是复合博弈出现。08-29 21:09:15-08-29 21:09:16It is a mixed strategy equilibrium.
294/338 818.84-820.22 n 最后乞丐急了,08-29 21:09:16-08-29 21:09:17Finally, the beggar was desperate.
295/338 820.28-822.44 n 眼警告老板说,08-29 21:09:16-08-29 21:09:18Warned the boss,
296/338 822.92-824.06 jd 你再不给我吃的,08-29 21:09:17-08-29 21:09:19If you don't give me food,
297/338 824.24-825.86 aaa 我就吊死在你家门口。08-29 21:09:18-08-29 21:09:20I'll hang myself in front of your house.
298/338 827.3-831.02 n 乞丐想用双叔的策略逼退饭店老板,08-29 21:09:19-08-29 21:09:22The beggar wanted to use the "double-brother" strategy to intimidate the hotel owner.
299/338 831.74-833.48 hp 在古代这种情况发生,08-29 21:09:19-08-29 21:09:22In ancient times, this happened.
300/338 833.96-836.6 jd 衙门要判饭店老板负全责的,08-29 21:09:21-08-29 21:09:23The government wants to hold the restaurant owner fully responsible.
301/338 837.26-842.19 de 但是饭店老板没有看清问题的本致饭店老板还不示弱,08-29 21:09:21-08-29 21:10:12However, the hotel owner did not see the root of the problem. The hotel owner was still stubborn and refused to admit his mistake.
302/338 843.09-844.05 aaa 结果到了晚上,08-29 21:09:22-08-29 21:09:23The results came in the evening,
303/338 844.59-847.41 hp 乞丐真的把自己吊在了饭店的门上,08-29 21:09:23-08-29 21:09:27A beggar really hanged himself in front of the hotel's door.
304/338 848.01-850.95 n 最后饭店老板也被推出五门外了。08-29 21:09:23-08-29 21:09:26The hotel owner was also kicked out of the five gates.
305/338 851.79-854.55 n 我们看看囚途困境的核心,08-29 21:09:24-08-29 21:09:27Let's examine the core of the Trolley Problem,
306/338 855.51-856.35 jd 单次博弈,08-29 21:09:25-08-29 21:09:26Single game,
307/338 857.07-858.93 aaa 个体理性会倒向双输,08-29 21:09:26-08-29 21:09:27Individual rationality will tend to double loss.
308/338 859.95-862.65 jd 重复博弈才有机会走向双赢。08-29 21:09:26-08-29 21:09:28Only through repeated games can we achieve a win-win outcome.
309/338 863.43-866.79 n 当我们面对比我们强大的多的对手,08-29 21:09:27-08-29 21:09:29When facing opponents stronger than us,
310/338 867.33-869.55 n 就是我们完全处于劣势的时候,08-29 21:09:28-08-29 21:09:33It was when we were completely in a disadvantageous position,
311/338 870.04-873.34 aaa 要通过把简单的事情复杂化的手段,08-29 21:09:29-08-29 21:09:30By making simple things complex,
312/338 873.88-878.139 hp 为自己争取更多的空间和时间寻找变量,08-29 21:09:29-08-29 21:09:33Find variables to gain more space and time for yourself.
313/338 878.5-880.78 jd 最后拿出双输的态势,08-29 21:09:30-08-29 21:09:32Finally, the situation reached a double loss,
314/338 881.56-883.42 n 逼逼着对方退一步,08-29 21:14:32-08-29 21:14:33Taking a step back,
315/338 883.72-884.44 n 实现双赢,08-29 21:09:32-08-29 21:09:33Achieve win-win,
316/338 884.92-886.06 aaa 这才是最优解。08-29 21:09:32-08-29 21:09:33This is the optimal solution.
317/338 889.9-893.02 jd 诸葛亮与司马懿的长期博弈中,08-29 21:09:33-08-29 21:09:35In the long-term struggle between Zhuge Liang and Sima Yi,
318/338 893.8-895.84 xss 诸葛亮就没有认识到这一点,08-29 21:09:33-08-29 21:10:03Zhuge Liang didn't realize this.
319/338 896.32-897.22 n 他搞反了。08-29 21:09:34-08-29 21:09:35He messed up.
320/338 897.76-899.5 hp 本来他处于弱势一方,08-29 21:09:35-08-29 21:09:38He was initially in a weak position.
321/338 900.11-903.8 n 但他总想着把复杂的事儿简单化处理,08-29 21:09:35-08-29 21:09:37But he always thought of simplifying complex matters.
322/338 904.27-907.57 aaa 把司马懿一方引导到一个开阔地干一仗,08-29 21:09:36-08-29 21:09:38Lure the Wei forces into an open field for a battle.
323/338 908.18-909.38 n 司马懿不吃他这一套。08-29 21:09:37-08-29 21:09:39Sima Yi doesn't fall for his tricks.
324/338 910.13-910.97 jd 一般情况下,08-29 21:09:37-08-29 21:09:38In general,
325/338 911.55-915.99 n 处于强势一方才会把复杂问题简单化处理。08-29 21:09:38-08-29 21:09:41Only when the dominant side has an advantage will they simplify complex issues.
326/338 916.37-917.57 hp 他怕节外生枝,08-29 21:09:39-08-29 21:09:41He was afraid of complications.
327/338 918.33-919.65 jd 就像我们平时打官司,08-29 21:09:40-08-29 21:09:41Just like we normally go to court,
328/338 920.03-920.81 aaa 你是被告,08-29 21:09:40-08-29 21:09:41You are the defendant.
329/338 921.4-923.14 n 对方又通过关系疏通了,08-29 21:09:41-08-29 21:09:44The other party has also established a relationship through mediation.
330/338 924.38-928.94 n 他们就想着想尽一切办法快速解决。08-29 21:09:42-08-29 21:09:44They were thinking of finding every possible way to solve it quickly.
331/338 929.66-933.86 jd 最好快到让你还没有明白过来的时候就开庭判决了。08-29 21:09:42-08-29 21:09:46It's best to start the trial and issue a judgment as soon as possible, so that the defendant doesn't have time to understand the situation.
332/338 934.77-940.72 hp 你把原本一个问题上升到了六个七个多条线索,08-29 21:09:43-08-29 21:09:47You have turned an original problem into several dozen clues.
333/338 941.38-942.22 aaa 同时推进,08-29 21:09:44-08-29 21:09:44Simultaneously,
334/338 942.85-943.99 n 事情就反转了。08-29 21:09:44-08-29 21:09:45The situation turned around.
335/338 944.49-945.33 aaa 他们就乱了,08-29 21:09:45-08-29 21:09:46They went crazy,
336/338 945.72-947.22 n 这时候你就有机会了。08-29 21:09:46-08-29 21:09:47Now is your chance.
337/338 947.52-949.44 n 因为变量变多了,08-29 21:09:47-08-29 21:09:48Because there are more variables,
338/338 949.96-952.42 aaa 你有了可以选择的变量。08-29 21:09:47-08-29 21:09:48You have variables to choose from.