1/264 0.09-1.47 hp 一九五三到一九八三年,09-07 11:14:11-09-07 11:14:15From 1953 to 1983,
2/264 1.65-4.29 n 几亿农民为中国工业化交了六千个亿。09-07 11:14:12-09-07 11:14:14Billions of farmers have paid six trillion yuan for China's industrialization.
3/264 4.53-8.31 de 这笔钱等于当时全国工业固定资产的全部。09-07 11:14:12-09-07 11:15:16This amount of money was equivalent to the total value of all industrial fixed assets in the country at that time.
4/264 9.03-9.69 aaa 一九五四年,09-07 11:14:13-09-07 11:14:141954,
5/264 10.11-13.77 bg 河北农民李老栓的账本上积着一笔交工粮三百斤。09-07 11:19:15-09-07 11:20:44A farmer named Li Lao Shen in Hebei has a debt of 300 jin (a unit of weight) to the government for unpaid labor.
6/264 14.19-15.03 n 他不知道的是,09-07 11:14:14-09-07 11:14:16He didn't know that,
7/264 15.39-19.23 aaa 他交的这些粮正在变成鞍钢的铁一期的车,09-07 11:14:15-09-07 11:14:18These grains he delivered are being used for the iron production of Anshan Steel's first phase.
8/264 19.77-22.59 n 大庆的油国家按定价收他的粮,09-07 11:14:16-09-07 11:14:19The oil workers in Daqing receive their rations at the set price.
9/264 22.89-24.51 hp 又按定价卖给他化肥,09-07 11:14:16-09-07 11:14:20Sold him fertilizer at the same price as before.
10/264 24.93-27.21 n 中间的差价就是剪刀差。09-07 11:14:17-09-07 11:14:19The difference in the middle is called a scissor loss.
11/264 27.81-28.35 xss 三十年里,09-07 11:14:18-09-07 11:15:39In the past thirty years,
12/264 28.65-30.45 bg 这笔差价超过了六千亿,09-07 11:14:18-09-07 11:14:52The difference is over six trillion.
13/264 30.63-32.729 aaa 但李老栓没有拿到股权证。09-07 11:14:19-09-07 11:14:21But Li Lao Shen didn't get a share certificate.
14/264 33.21-39.15 n 今天我们用股权投资的框架拆解中国工业化的第一笔原始资本到底是谁出的?09-07 11:14:20-09-07 11:14:25Today, we will use the framework of equity investment to analyze who provided the initial capital for China's industrialization.
15/264 39.75-41.43 n 这笔账又是怎么还的?09-07 11:14:20-09-07 11:14:22How was this bill paid?
16/264 41.91-43.17 de 欢迎来到工业党视角,09-07 11:14:21-09-07 11:14:49Welcome to the Industrial Party's perspective,
17/264 43.53-46.89 hp 我是长老前两期我们讲了两个被忽略的事实。09-07 11:14:22-09-07 11:14:27I'm the elder, and in our previous two sessions we discussed two overlooked facts.
18/264 47.31-48.93 aaa 第一期一九七八年,09-07 11:14:23-09-07 11:14:25The first year of 1978,
19/264 49.11-50.31 n 中国不是一穷二白,09-07 11:14:23-09-07 11:14:25China is not just poor and white.
20/264 50.61-52.17 aaa 而是有完整工业体系。09-07 11:14:26-09-07 11:14:27Instead, there is a complete industrial system.
21/264 52.71-57.39 n 第二期乡镇企业是农民在田间地头打出的工业化第一枪。09-07 11:14:27-09-07 11:14:32The second batch of township enterprises were the first industrial initiatives launched by farmers in their fields.
22/264 57.99-63.88 n 今天这期我要告诉你那个完整工业体系的第一桶金到底是谁出的?09-07 11:14:27-09-07 11:14:33Today, I'm going to tell you who was the first person to make a profit in the complete industrial system.
23/264 64.25-66.259 hp 我会分五层来论证这件事。09-07 11:14:28-09-07 11:14:32I will argue this point in five layers.
24/264 66.88-67.12 aaa 第一,09-07 11:14:29-09-07 11:14:29First,
25/264 67.72-69.04 aaa 剪刀擦到底是什么?09-07 11:14:30-09-07 11:14:32What is a paper cutter?
26/264 69.16-70.0 aaa 它不是阴谋,09-07 11:14:33-09-07 11:14:34It's not a conspiracy,
27/264 70.38-72.63 hp 是农业国变工业国的必经之路。09-07 11:14:33-09-07 11:14:38It is the inevitable path for agricultural countries to transform into industrial ones.
28/264 73.23-73.41 n 第二,09-07 11:14:34-09-07 11:14:34Second,
29/264 73.83-75.75 n 数字背后的规模六千亿,09-07 11:14:35-09-07 11:14:36The scale behind the numbers: six billion,
30/264 75.87-78.03 aaa 背后是几亿农民的具体付出。09-07 11:14:35-09-07 11:14:38The background is the specific contribution of billions of farmers.
31/264 78.6-78.84 n 第三,09-07 11:14:36-09-07 11:14:38Third,
32/264 79.26-80.76 n 农民拿到了什么国家?09-07 11:14:38-09-07 11:14:40What did the farmer get?
33/264 80.88-83.52 n 后来用另一种方式完成生产力再分配。09-07 11:14:39-09-07 11:14:42Later, productivity redistribution was achieved in a different way.
34/264 84.03-84.27 aaa 第四,09-07 11:14:40-09-07 11:14:40Fourth,
35/264 84.84-87.48 hp 国际对照所有完成工业化的国家,09-07 11:14:40-09-07 11:14:43Compare all industrialized countries,
36/264 87.9-89.04 n 原始积累从哪儿来?09-07 11:14:41-09-07 11:14:43Where does the original accumulation come from?
37/264 89.59-89.77 aaa 第五,09-07 11:14:42-09-07 11:14:42Fifth,
38/264 90.3-91.5 n 一个反直觉的结论,09-07 11:14:42-09-07 11:14:43An counterintuitive conclusion,
39/264 91.92-94.62 aaa 为什么中国的模式既残酷又独特?09-07 11:14:43-09-07 11:14:45Why is China's model both brutal and unique?
40/264 94.92-96.78 hp 先说清楚什么是剪刀叉。09-07 11:14:44-09-07 11:14:49Let's start by clarifying what "scissors and fork" means.
41/264 97.32-98.34 n 一九五三年十月,09-07 11:14:44-09-07 11:14:46October 1953,
42/264 98.64-100.56 n 国家出台统购统销政策,09-07 11:14:45-09-07 11:14:47The government has implemented a unified procurement and sales policy.
43/264 101.02-103.78 aaa 农民必须把粮食按国家定价卖给国家。09-07 11:14:46-09-07 11:14:49Farmers must sell their crops to the state at a price set by the government.
44/264 104.14-105.1 n 不能自由买卖。09-07 11:14:47-09-07 11:14:49Cannot be freely traded.
45/264 105.71-105.89 n 同时,09-07 11:14:50-09-07 11:14:50At the same time,
46/264 106.13-106.91 hp 农民买化肥、09-07 11:14:50-09-07 11:14:52Farmers buy fertilizers,
47/264 107.45-113.85 n 农药农机按国家定价购买问题的关键是国家定的收购价低于市场价,09-07 11:14:51-09-07 11:14:58The key issue in purchasing agricultural products and machinery at a national-determined price is that the nationally determined purchase price is lower than market prices.
48/264 114.48-116.94 aaa 国家定的工业品售价高于市场价,09-07 11:14:52-09-07 11:14:54The government sets the price of industrial products higher than market prices.
49/264 117.64-121.24 de 中间的差额就是剪刀差像一把张开的剪刀,09-07 11:14:52-09-07 11:15:26The difference in the middle is like a pair of scissors,
50/264 121.6-123.04 n 一认捡农产品的价格,09-07 11:14:53-09-07 11:14:551. Check the prices of agricultural products,
51/264 123.44-126.74 bg 一任捡工业品的价格差额转化为工业积累,09-07 11:14:53-09-07 11:16:00The price difference between one unit of industrial goods and another is converted into an accumulation of industry.
52/264 127.1-129.58 hp 这不是中国发明的这个概念。09-07 11:14:54-09-07 11:14:58This is not a concept invented by China.
53/264 129.76-130.54 aaa 一九二零年代,09-07 11:14:55-09-07 11:14:58In the 1920s,
54/264 130.72-131.26 n 来自苏联,09-07 11:14:56-09-07 11:14:58From the Soviet Union,
55/264 131.86-133.42 n 一九三零年代引入中国,09-07 11:14:58-09-07 11:15:01Introduced to China in the 1930s,
56/264 134.05-137.28 aaa 所有从农业国转向工业国的国家都走过这一步,09-07 11:14:59-09-07 11:15:02All countries that have transitioned from agricultural to industrial economies have gone through this step.
57/264 137.52-137.82 n 为什么?09-07 11:15:00-09-07 11:15:00Why?
58/264 138.12-139.68 hp 因为工业化需要三个东西,09-07 11:15:00-09-07 11:15:03Because industrialization requires three things,
59/264 140.17-140.41 n 资本、09-07 11:15:01-09-07 11:15:02Capital,
60/264 140.77-141.07 n 劳动力、09-07 11:15:02-09-07 11:15:02Labor,
61/264 141.53-141.95 n 原材料,09-07 11:15:02-09-07 11:15:03Raw materials,
62/264 142.5-144.92 aaa 一个农业国这三样东西都在农村,09-07 11:15:03-09-07 11:15:05Three things are in the countryside, and they belong to an agricultural country.
63/264 145.34-146.54 n 你不从农村提取,09-07 11:15:04-09-07 11:15:06You don't extract from rural areas.
64/264 146.72-148.4 n 剩余工业从哪长出来?09-07 11:15:04-09-07 11:15:06Where do remaining industries come from?
65/264 149.04-154.93 hp 剪刀叉是农业国向工业国转型的过桥费问题是过桥费收了多少桥,09-07 11:15:05-09-07 11:15:13Scissors and forks are the problem of agricultural countries transitioning to industrial countries. The question is how much toll should be charged for crossing a bridge?
66/264 155.23-157.72 aaa 修好后让不让交费的农民上桥。09-07 11:15:06-09-07 11:15:09After fixing it, I'll have the farmers who were previously refusing to pay come across.
67/264 158.44-161.48 n 现在说数字建议先收藏这组数据,09-07 11:15:07-09-07 11:15:10Now, when it comes to suggesting numbers, I recommend you save this set of data first.
68/264 161.66-162.979 n 国内教科书很少,09-07 11:15:07-09-07 11:15:10There are very few textbooks in China.
69/264 163.28-165.77 aaa 系统呈现第一笔剪刀叉。09-07 11:15:10-09-07 11:15:11The system displays the first scissor.
70/264 166.25-167.75 n 一九五三年到一九八三年,09-07 11:15:11-09-07 11:15:13From 1953 to 1983,
71/264 168.15-169.23 n 官方不完全统计,09-07 11:15:11-09-07 11:15:13Official incomplete statistics,
72/264 169.79-173.71 aaa 农民通过剪刀叉为工业化提供的积累超过六千亿元。09-07 11:15:12-09-07 11:15:16Farmers have accumulated over 60 billion yuan through the use of scissors and forks, providing a foundation for industrialization.
73/264 174.29-177.05 hp 如果按学者闫瑞珍的比值法计算,09-07 11:15:13-09-07 11:15:17If calculated using Professor Yan Ruijin's ratio method,
74/264 177.35-180.24 n 一九五二年到一九九七年四十五年间,09-07 11:15:14-09-07 11:15:19From 1952 to 1997, a period of forty-five years.
75/264 180.36-183.27 n 这个数字是一万两千六百四十一亿元,09-07 11:15:15-09-07 11:15:19This number is two trillion, six hundred and forty-one billion.
76/264 183.85-186.25 aaa 平均每年两百七十四点八亿元。09-07 11:15:16-09-07 11:15:19Approximately 274.8 billion yuan per year.
77/264 186.74-190.27 de 第二笔农业税一九四九年到二零零五年,09-07 11:15:17-09-07 11:16:05Second Agricultural Tax, 1949-2005.
78/264 190.76-193.82 hp 全国累计征收农业税约四千两百亿元。09-07 11:15:19-09-07 11:15:24Approximately 400 billion yuan has been collected nationwide in agricultural taxes.
79/264 194.33-194.93 aaa 一九五零年,09-07 11:15:20-09-07 11:15:211950,
80/264 195.11-197.51 n 农业税占全国税收收入的百分之三十九,09-07 11:15:21-09-07 11:15:24Agriculture accounts for 39% of the country's tax revenue.
81/264 197.69-198.59 n 第三笔公粮。09-07 11:15:21-09-07 11:15:24Third installment of public rations.
82/264 199.07-200.45 aaa 一九四九年到两千年,09-07 11:15:22-09-07 11:15:24From 1949 to the year 2000,
83/264 200.57-201.17 n 五十二年间,09-07 11:15:25-09-07 11:15:26Over a period of fifty years,
84/264 201.83-205.95 hp 农民向国家缴纳七千多亿公斤粮食第四笔按税。09-07 11:15:25-09-07 11:15:31Farmers paid the fourth installment of over 7 billion kilograms of grain tax to the state.
85/264 206.49-207.15 n 一九五六年,09-07 11:15:26-09-07 11:15:271956,
86/264 207.33-208.95 aaa 农业个税不到三十亿元,09-07 11:15:27-09-07 11:15:29Agricultural tax is less than 30 billion yuan.
87/264 209.29-211.42 n 但当年剪刀差约七十亿元,09-07 11:15:27-09-07 11:15:30But the scissors were about 70 billion yuan short.
88/264 211.95-213.21 de 即使到一九七八年,09-07 11:15:28-09-07 11:16:02Even in the 1970s,
89/264 213.66-217.08 n 农业税占全国财政收入比重只有百分之二点五一,09-07 11:15:29-09-07 11:15:34Agriculture tax accounts for only 2.5% of the national fiscal revenue,
90/264 217.48-219.4 xss 但加上剪刀叉和各项税费,09-07 11:20:31-09-07 11:23:26However, with the addition of scissors and forks as well as various taxes and fees,
91/264 220.07-223.81 aaa 农民提供的积累仍然至少占三分之一几亿农民。09-07 11:15:30-09-07 11:15:34Farmers' accumulated savings still account for at least one-third of the total amount, with over 50 million farmers.
92/264 224.17-224.71 n 三十年间,09-07 11:15:31-09-07 11:15:34Over the past thirty years,
93/264 225.29-229.99 hp 每年把相当一部分劳动成果以低于市场价的价格交给国家,09-07 11:15:32-09-07 11:15:38Each year, a significant portion of my labor results are given to the state at prices below market value.
94/264 230.55-234.69 n 但正实这笔钱让中国工业年均增速达到百分之十一点二。09-07 11:15:34-09-07 11:15:40However, this money actually helped China's industrial growth rate reach 11.2% per year.
95/264 235.17-239.43 n 在一九七六年成为世界上唯一拥有联合国产业分类目录中,09-07 11:15:35-09-07 11:15:41In 1976, it became the only country in the world to have its own industrial classification directory in the United Nations.
96/264 239.55-240.87 aaa 所有工业门类的国家。09-07 11:15:36-09-07 11:15:38All countries in the industrial sector.
97/264 241.42-241.6 aaa 注意,09-07 11:15:38-09-07 11:15:39Please note,
98/264 241.91-243.889 hp 这里说的是两个不同阶段的农民。09-07 11:15:39-09-07 11:15:43This refers to two farmers at different stages of their careers.
99/264 244.55-246.35 xss 一九四九年到一九七八年,09-07 11:15:40-09-07 11:18:09From 1949 to 1978,
100/264 246.77-249.05 aaa 农民的角色是原始资本提供者,09-07 11:15:40-09-07 11:15:43The role of farmers is to provide the initial capital.
101/264 249.6-251.82 n 通过剪刀插为工业体系输血。09-07 11:15:41-09-07 11:15:43Blood transfusion through scissors insertion into the industrial system.
102/264 252.46-253.36 n 一九七八年之后,09-07 11:15:42-09-07 11:15:44After 1978,
103/264 253.72-254.62 aaa 同一批人的子女,09-07 11:15:44-09-07 11:15:45The children of the same group of people,
104/264 255.02-258.249 hp 以及他们自己变成了产业工人和创业者,09-07 11:15:45-09-07 11:15:49and they themselves became industrial workers and entrepreneurs.
105/264 258.61-259.21 n 通过乡镇、09-07 11:15:45-09-07 11:15:46Through townships,
106/264 259.39-260.71 n 企业和进城务工,09-07 11:15:46-09-07 11:15:47Businesses and migrant workers,
107/264 261.29-263.33 aaa 从工业体系中获取收益,09-07 11:15:47-09-07 11:15:49Extract benefits from the industrial system,
108/264 263.84-266.23 n 这不是同一批人的先受害后受益,09-07 11:15:47-09-07 11:15:53This is not the case of being harmed first and then benefiting,
109/264 266.56-270.49 n 而是中国农民整体在不同历史阶段承担的不同历史角色。09-07 11:15:49-09-07 11:15:54Instead, this is about the different historical roles that Chinese farmers have played in various stages of history.
110/264 271.22-272.96 hp 那么原始积累完成之后,09-07 11:15:50-09-07 11:15:53Once the initial accumulation is complete,
111/264 273.14-274.28 aaa 国家给了农民什么?09-07 11:15:51-09-07 11:15:53What did the country give to farmers?
112/264 274.63-280.61 aaa 答案是国家用基础设施和公共服务完成了一次迟到的生产力再分配。09-07 11:15:54-09-07 11:15:57The answer is that the state has achieved a late-stage productivity redistribution through infrastructure and public services.
113/264 281.11-282.62 n 第一村村通工程,09-07 11:15:54-09-07 11:15:56First Village, First Road Project
114/264 283.04-284.54 hp 一九九八年到二零二零年,09-07 11:15:55-09-07 11:15:59From 1998 to 2020,
115/264 284.98-286.6 n 中国实施村村通工程,09-07 11:15:56-09-07 11:15:58China implements the "Village to Village" project,
116/264 287.11-287.65 n 涵盖公路、09-07 11:15:56-09-07 11:15:58Covers highways,
117/264 288.01-288.25 aaa 电力、09-07 11:15:58-09-07 11:15:58Electricity,
118/264 288.61-289.45 n 饮用水电话、09-07 11:15:58-09-07 11:15:59Drinking water phone,
119/264 289.75-290.29 n 有线电视、09-07 11:15:59-09-07 11:16:00Cable TV,
120/264 290.53-290.83 aaa 互联网、09-07 11:16:00-09-07 11:16:00Internet,
121/264 291.34-294.04 hp 互联网总投资超过一万亿元。09-07 11:16:00-09-07 11:16:04Internet total investment exceeds one trillion yuan.
122/264 294.61-294.79 n 第二,09-07 11:16:01-09-07 11:16:02Second,
123/264 295.21-295.93 bg 取消农业税。09-07 11:16:02-09-07 11:16:26Cancel agricultural tax.
124/264 296.44-297.58 n 二零二六年一月一日,09-07 11:16:02-09-07 11:16:05January 1, 2026
125/264 297.95-299.33 aaa 中国正式取消农业税。09-07 11:16:03-09-07 11:16:05China officially cancels agricultural tax.
126/264 299.87-301.67 n 从一九四九年到二零零五年,09-07 11:16:04-09-07 11:16:07From 1949 to 2005,
127/264 302.09-304.01 de 农业税累计增收了五十七年,09-07 11:16:06-09-07 11:16:55Agriculture has been taxed for 57 years,
128/264 304.49-308.029 hp 这是国家层面对农民负担的一次历史性懈单。09-07 11:16:07-09-07 11:16:11This is a historic breakthrough for the government in reducing farmers' burden.
129/264 308.39-308.63 n 第三,09-07 11:16:07-09-07 11:16:08Third,
130/264 309.17-313.13 de 新农合二零零三年开始试点的新型农村合作医疗,09-07 11:16:08-09-07 11:17:13New Rural Cooperative Medical Insurance, which began a pilot program in 2003.
131/264 313.55-314.51 aaa 到二零一零年,09-07 11:16:09-09-07 11:16:10By 2010,
132/264 314.69-319.13 n 覆盖绝大多数农村人口虽然保障水平和城镇有差距,09-07 11:16:09-09-07 11:16:15While covering the vast majority of rural population, it still has gaps compared to urban areas.
133/264 319.49-322.97 n 但它是中国农村第一次有了系统性的医疗保障。09-07 11:16:10-09-07 11:16:15But it was the first time that a systematic medical insurance system had been implemented in rural China.
134/264 323.33-323.57 aaa 第四,09-07 11:16:11-09-07 11:16:12Fourth,
135/264 324.11-324.71 hp 脱贫攻坚。09-07 11:16:12-09-07 11:16:15Poverty alleviation and poverty eradication.
136/264 325.31-326.87 aaa 二零一二年到二零二零年,09-07 11:16:12-09-07 11:16:15From 2012 to 2020,
137/264 327.05-329.33 n 近一亿农村贫困人口实现脱贫,09-07 11:16:15-09-07 11:16:18Over 100 million rural poor people have been lifted out of poverty.
138/264 329.87-331.19 hp 农村基础设施投入、09-07 11:16:16-09-07 11:16:18Rural infrastructure investment,
139/264 331.61-332.27 n 产业扶持、09-07 11:16:17-09-07 11:16:18Industry support,
140/264 332.69-333.29 aaa 易地搬迁。09-07 11:16:17-09-07 11:16:19Relocation.
141/264 333.59-337.61 bg 这些资源的源头很大程度上来自工业化完成后,09-07 11:21:19-09-07 11:22:09The sources of these resources are largely derived from the industrialization process.
142/264 337.79-339.11 n 国家财政能力的增强,09-07 11:16:19-09-07 11:16:20The strengthening of the national financial capacity,
143/264 339.59-340.85 hp 农民没有拿到股权证,09-07 11:16:19-09-07 11:16:22Farmers did not receive equity certificates.
144/264 341.15-343.49 n 但他们拿到了村村通的水泥路、09-07 11:16:20-09-07 11:16:22But they got cement roads in every village,
145/264 344.09-345.05 aaa 新农合的医保卡,09-07 11:16:21-09-07 11:16:22The new agricultural insurance medical card,
146/264 345.53-347.03 n 取消农业税的红头文件。09-07 11:16:21-09-07 11:16:23The red line of agricultural tax.
147/264 347.39-349.31 n 这不是对过去错误的纠正,09-07 11:16:23-09-07 11:16:24This is not a correction of past mistakes,
148/264 349.61-352.25 aaa 而是工业化不同阶段的生产力分配,09-07 11:16:23-09-07 11:16:25It is the allocation of productivity in different stages of industrialization.
149/264 352.73-354.23 hp 积累阶段向工业倾斜,09-07 11:16:24-09-07 11:16:27Accumulation phase towards industry,
150/264 354.77-356.45 n 反哺阶段向农村倾斜。09-07 11:16:25-09-07 11:16:27Phase of reverse learning towards rural areas.
151/264 357.11-358.55 n 现在做一个国际对照,09-07 11:16:25-09-07 11:16:27Now, let's do an international comparison.
152/264 358.91-360.42 aaa 所有完成工业化的国家,09-07 11:16:26-09-07 11:16:27All countries that have industrialized,
153/264 360.78-361.44 bg 原始积累,09-07 11:16:27-09-07 11:16:45Original accumulation,
154/264 361.56-363.66 hp 从哪来英国圈地运动?09-07 11:16:27-09-07 11:16:31Where did the land enclosure movement in Britain originate?
155/264 364.14-365.4 n 十六世纪到十九世纪,09-07 11:16:28-09-07 11:16:31From the 16th to the 19th centuries,
156/264 365.82-368.1 aaa 地主把农民从土地上分离出来。09-07 11:16:29-09-07 11:16:30The landlord separated the farmers from their land.
157/264 368.46-369.54 n 土地变成牧场,09-07 11:16:29-09-07 11:16:31Land becomes pasture,
158/264 369.9-370.8 aaa 农民进入城市,09-07 11:16:31-09-07 11:16:32Farmers enter the city.
159/264 370.98-372.72 n 成为产业工人资本。09-07 11:16:31-09-07 11:16:33Become an industrial worker and capitalist.
160/264 372.9-373.74 n 从土地中来,09-07 11:16:32-09-07 11:16:34From the land,
161/264 374.16-375.66 hp 劳动力从失地农民中来,09-07 11:16:33-09-07 11:16:36The workforce comes from displaced farmers.
162/264 376.08-382.38 aaa 英国工业化原始积累的核心是内部土地变革加外部殖民苏联集体农庄。09-07 11:16:34-09-07 11:16:37The core of Britain's industrial accumulation was internal land reform plus external colonization. The Soviet Union had collective farms.
163/264 382.86-383.58 n 一九二八年后,09-07 11:16:34-09-07 11:16:36After 1928,
164/264 383.94-386.16 n 苏联通过集体农庄和义务交售制,09-07 11:16:35-09-07 11:16:38The Soviet Union used collective farms and a system of compulsory exchange,
165/264 386.52-389.28 hp 从农业提取剩余支持工业化粮食,09-07 11:16:36-09-07 11:16:41Extracting surplus food from agriculture to support industrialization,
166/264 389.52-390.66 n 被国家低价征收,09-07 11:16:37-09-07 11:16:40Taxed at a low price by the country,
167/264 391.26-393.0 aaa 苏联的工业化速度震惊世界,09-07 11:16:38-09-07 11:16:40The speed of industrialization in the Soviet Union shocked the world.
168/264 393.24-395.22 n 但代价是农业部门长期低效,09-07 11:16:39-09-07 11:16:41But the cost is that agriculture has been inefficient for a long time.
169/264 395.64-397.62 n 最终成为其经济结构的短板。09-07 11:16:41-09-07 11:16:43Ultimately became a bottleneck in its economic structure.
170/264 398.1-402.0 hp 拉美外部债务拉美国家没有完成内部原始积累,09-07 11:16:42-09-07 11:16:44Latin America's external debt
171/264 402.36-403.92 aaa 选择向国际资本借债,09-07 11:16:42-09-07 11:16:44Borrowing from international capital,
172/264 404.28-407.64 n 结果是债务压力上升与产业升级受阻,09-07 11:16:43-09-07 11:16:47The result is increased debt pressure and hindered industrial upgrading.
173/264 408.36-409.86 n 中国模式的独特之处在哪?09-07 11:16:44-09-07 11:16:47What are the unique features of China's model?
174/264 410.04-410.22 aaa 第一,09-07 11:16:44-09-07 11:16:45First,
175/264 410.76-412.2 hp 提取方式是价格机制,09-07 11:16:45-09-07 11:16:48Extraction method is price mechanism.
176/264 412.56-413.52 aaa 不是暴利剥夺,09-07 11:16:46-09-07 11:16:47Not a profit-seeking scheme,
177/264 414.0-415.56 bg 统购统销是行政定价,09-07 11:16:46-09-07 11:17:21Bulk purchase and bulk sale is administrative pricing.
178/264 415.86-417.96 n 但农民没有被从土地上赶走。09-07 11:16:47-09-07 11:16:50But the farmers were not evicted from their land.
179/264 418.5-418.68 aaa 第二,09-07 11:16:48-09-07 11:16:49Second,
180/264 419.28-420.79 n 提取的资本没有被挥霍,09-07 11:16:49-09-07 11:16:51The extracted capital has not been squandered.
181/264 420.97-422.77 hp 而是建成了完整的工业体系。09-07 11:16:49-09-07 11:16:53Instead, it formed a complete industrial system.
182/264 423.37-425.23 aaa 六千亿剪刀叉变成了鞍钢。09-07 11:16:50-09-07 11:16:52Six billion scissors and forks became Anshan Steel.
183/264 425.53-425.77 n 一汽。09-07 11:16:51-09-07 11:16:51One car.
184/264 426.13-429.85 n 大庆油田变成了一九七六年完整的工业门类。09-07 11:16:51-09-07 11:16:55The Daqing Oil Field has become a complete industrial sector in 1976.
185/264 430.15-430.39 n 第三,09-07 11:16:52-09-07 11:16:53Third,
186/264 430.93-431.77 aaa 工业化完成后,09-07 11:16:53-09-07 11:16:54After industrialization,
187/264 432.19-436.03 hp 国家开始了大规模反哺村村通取消农业税、09-07 11:16:54-09-07 11:16:59The country has launched a large-scale reverse support program, canceling agricultural taxes in villages.
188/264 436.57-438.07 n 新农合脱贫攻坚。09-07 11:16:54-09-07 11:16:56New Agricultural Support for Poverty Alleviation.
189/264 438.37-441.67 aaa 这不是所有完成工业化的国家都会做的事。09-07 11:16:55-09-07 11:16:57This is not something that all industrialized countries do.
190/264 442.27-444.97 de 中国的独特之处不是有没有原始积累,09-07 11:16:56-09-07 11:17:38The unique characteristic of China is not whether it has or does not have original accumulation,
191/264 445.45-446.47 n 所有工业国都有。09-07 11:16:56-09-07 11:16:58All industrialized countries have.
192/264 446.89-447.97 n 中国的独特之处是,09-07 11:16:57-09-07 11:16:58The unique thing about China is,
193/264 448.51-449.53 aaa 原始积累完成后,09-07 11:16:58-09-07 11:16:59After the initial accumulation is complete,
194/264 449.95-450.91 n 国家有没有能力、09-07 11:16:58-09-07 11:17:00Does the country have the ability,
195/264 451.33-455.23 n 有没有意愿对原始积累的主体进行再分配,09-07 11:16:59-09-07 11:17:01Are you willing to redistribute the original accumulation?
196/264 455.59-458.59 hp 回到我们系列的核心框架生产力决定论。09-07 11:17:00-09-07 11:17:04Back to our series' core framework: productivity determinism.
197/264 459.07-460.63 aaa 一个农业国要变成工业国,09-07 11:17:01-09-07 11:17:03A country that is primarily agricultural needs to transform into an industrial nation.
198/264 461.05-462.55 n 必须完成原始积累,09-07 11:17:01-09-07 11:17:03Must complete the initial accumulation.
199/264 462.97-463.87 n 原始积累的来源,09-07 11:17:02-09-07 11:17:03Source of original accumulation,
200/264 463.99-465.55 aaa 只有三个内部农业,09-07 11:17:04-09-07 11:17:05Only three internal agriculture,
201/264 465.73-468.73 n 剩余外部殖民掠夺国际债务。09-07 11:17:05-09-07 11:17:07Remaining external colonial plunder international debt.
202/264 469.33-474.19 n 中国一九五零年代的选择是用内部农业剩余完成原始积累,09-07 11:17:05-09-07 11:17:10In the 1950s, China chose to accumulate capital through internal agricultural surplus.
203/264 474.61-476.53 hp 同时保持国家主权独立。09-07 11:17:06-09-07 11:17:09While maintaining national sovereignty and independence.
204/264 476.95-478.09 aaa 这不是道德选择,09-07 11:17:07-09-07 11:17:08This is not a moral choice.
205/264 478.33-479.65 n 是地缘政治现实,09-07 11:17:08-09-07 11:17:10It is a geopolitical reality.
206/264 479.96-484.58 aaa 西方封锁外部援著有限殖民掠夺的历史窗口已经关闭,09-07 11:17:09-09-07 11:17:12The historical window of Western external exploitation, supported by limited colonial plunder, has been closed.
207/264 485.06-487.64 hp 中国只能向内求剪刀叉的本质,09-07 11:17:11-09-07 11:17:15The essence of China's inward-looking approach is that...
208/264 487.94-489.56 n 是国家主导的储蓄机制。09-07 11:17:12-09-07 11:17:15It is a state-led savings mechanism.
209/264 490.16-496.22 n 几亿农民每年把一部分劳动成果以低于市场价的价格存入国家工业账户,09-07 11:17:12-09-07 11:17:17Millions of farmers put a portion of their labor results into the state industrial account at below-market prices.
210/264 496.82-498.38 aaa 换取未来工业化的收益。09-07 11:17:13-09-07 11:17:15To obtain the benefits of future industrialization.
211/264 498.92-503.12 de 这个模式的代价是农村长期贫困城乡差距扩大,09-07 11:17:15-09-07 11:18:03The cost of this model is the long-term poverty and widening gap between rural and urban areas in our countryside.
212/264 503.54-505.04 n 但它的收益是完整的。09-07 11:17:16-09-07 11:17:17But its benefits are complete.
213/264 505.16-505.64 aaa 工业体系。09-07 11:17:17-09-07 11:17:17Industrial system.
214/264 506.12-507.08 hp 国家主权独立,09-07 11:17:17-09-07 11:17:20National sovereignty and independence,
215/264 507.32-511.879 n 后来反哺农村的能力评价这个模式不能站在道德高地上,09-07 11:17:18-09-07 11:17:22Later, the model of evaluating rural revitalization capabilities cannot be based on moral high ground.
216/264 512.48-514.58 aaa 要站在生产力发展的阶段上。09-07 11:17:19-09-07 11:17:20To be at the stage of productivity development.
217/264 515.24-519.56 n 一九五零年代的中国不是一个要不要完成原始积累的选择题,09-07 11:17:19-09-07 11:17:25The China of the 1950s was not a matter of choosing whether or not to complete initial accumulation.
218/264 519.86-523.7 hp 而是一个用哪种方式完成原始积累的选择题,09-07 11:22:21-09-07 11:22:26And this is a multiple-choice question about how to complete the initial accumulation,
219/264 524.36-526.7 hp 中国选择了内部提取加主权独立,09-07 11:17:21-09-07 11:17:25China has chosen internal extraction plus sovereign independence.
220/264 527.0-528.14 aaa 而不是外部依赖。09-07 11:17:21-09-07 11:17:22Instead of external dependencies.
221/264 528.5-530.72 bg 所以回到我们系列的核心命题。09-07 11:17:22-09-07 11:18:09So, let's get back to the core premise of our series.
222/264 531.44-532.88 n 改革开放不是从零开始,09-07 11:17:23-09-07 11:17:25Reform and opening-up did not start from scratch.
223/264 533.36-534.92 aaa 前三十年不是耽误时间,09-07 11:17:23-09-07 11:17:25The first thirty years were not wasted.
224/264 535.34-536.72 hp 二零零六年后的反哺,09-07 11:17:26-09-07 11:17:30The return of favors after 2006,
225/264 537.02-537.8 n 也不是赎罪。09-07 11:17:27-09-07 11:17:28Not redemption.
226/264 538.34-542.37 aaa 这三段历史是同一个生产力发展逻辑的三个阶段。09-07 11:17:27-09-07 11:17:29These three historical periods represent the same stage of productive development.
227/264 542.85-543.39 n 第一阶段,09-07 11:17:28-09-07 11:17:29First stage,
228/264 543.69-546.57 n 一九四九到一九七八年积累阶段,09-07 11:17:29-09-07 11:17:33From 1949 to 1978, the accumulation stage.
229/264 546.81-549.81 n 几亿农民通过剪刀叉完成原始积累,09-07 11:17:29-09-07 11:17:33Millions of farmers have achieved initial accumulation through scissors and forks.
230/264 550.17-551.61 aaa 建成完整工业体系。09-07 11:17:30-09-07 11:17:31Establish a complete industrial system.
231/264 552.21-552.75 hp 第二阶段,09-07 11:17:31-09-07 11:17:33Second stage,
232/264 552.99-555.45 aaa 一九七八到二零零六年激活阶段,09-07 11:17:33-09-07 11:17:36From 1978 to 2006, the active phase.
233/264 555.87-557.61 n 用市场机制激活这个体系,09-07 11:17:34-09-07 11:17:35Activate this system through market mechanisms,
234/264 558.09-560.37 hp 让农民从交两者变成务工者。09-07 11:17:35-09-07 11:17:38Turn farmers into workers.
235/264 561.03-561.57 n 第三阶段。09-07 11:17:35-09-07 11:17:36Third stage.
236/264 561.87-562.77 n 二零零六年至今,09-07 11:17:36-09-07 11:17:38Since 2006,
237/264 562.95-563.73 aaa 在分配阶段,09-07 11:17:37-09-07 11:17:39In the allocation phase,
238/264 564.15-564.99 n 工业化完成后,09-07 11:17:39-09-07 11:17:40After industrialization,
239/264 565.41-566.55 de 国家财政能力增强,09-07 11:17:40-09-07 11:18:00The country's financial capacity has increased,
240/264 566.85-568.35 hp 开始大规模反哺农村。09-07 11:17:40-09-07 11:17:44Start large-scale reverse support for rural areas.
241/264 569.01-570.69 n 这三段不是对立关系,09-07 11:17:41-09-07 11:17:44These three paragraphs are not in opposition to each other.
242/264 571.05-572.069 aaa 是接力关系,09-07 11:17:41-09-07 11:17:44It's a relay race,
243/264 572.85-574.65 n 几亿农民没有拿到股权证。09-07 11:17:42-09-07 11:17:44Millions of farmers have not received equity certificates.
244/264 575.01-577.29 aaa 但他们拿到了村村通的水泥路、09-07 11:17:45-09-07 11:17:46But they got cement roads in every village,
245/264 577.71-578.85 n 新农合的医保卡,09-07 11:17:45-09-07 11:17:47New agricultural insurance medical card,
246/264 579.45-580.83 hp 取消农业税的红头文件,09-07 11:17:46-09-07 11:17:49The red line of agricultural tax,
247/264 581.07-582.27 n 这不是完美的公平。09-07 11:17:47-09-07 11:17:48This is not perfect fairness.
248/264 582.51-585.39 aaa 但这是一个国家从农业国走向工业国,09-07 11:17:47-09-07 11:17:50But this is a country transitioning from an agricultural nation to an industrial one.
249/264 585.69-588.39 n 再回头修补城乡裂痕的完整叙事。09-07 11:17:48-09-07 11:17:53To fully narrate the story of repairing rural-urban divides.
250/264 588.93-591.45 n 下一期工业党视角 s一 e 四。09-07 11:17:49-09-07 11:17:52Next issue of Industrial Party's perspective s one e four.
251/264 591.87-592.59 hp 一九五三年,09-07 11:17:50-09-07 11:17:521953,
252/264 593.01-595.41 aaa 苏联答应帮中国建一百五十六个工厂、09-07 11:17:50-09-07 11:17:53The Soviet Union agreed to help China build 156 factories.
253/264 595.83-596.01 n 钢铁、09-07 11:17:53-09-07 11:17:54Steel,
254/264 596.43-596.67 hp 汽车、09-07 11:17:54-09-07 11:17:55Cars,
255/264 597.09-597.45 n 拖拉机、09-07 11:17:54-09-07 11:17:55Tractor,
256/264 597.75-597.99 aaa 飞机、09-07 11:17:55-09-07 11:17:55Airplane
257/264 598.65-601.48 n 一个农业国做梦都想要的全套重工业,09-07 11:17:56-09-07 11:18:00A country that relies on agriculture dreams of having a complete set of heavy industries.
258/264 601.78-604.54 n 这是人类工业史上最大规模的技术转移。09-07 11:17:56-09-07 11:18:00This is the largest-scale technology transfer in human industrial history.
259/264 604.84-605.56 hp 但十年后,09-07 11:17:57-09-07 11:18:00But ten years later,
260/264 605.86-606.58 aaa 专家撤走,09-07 11:17:58-09-07 11:18:00Experts leave,
261/264 607.12-609.4 aaa 图纸封存建了一半的工厂,09-07 11:18:00-09-07 11:18:02The blueprint for a half-built factory was sealed.
262/264 609.7-610.06 hp 怎么办?09-07 11:18:01-09-07 11:18:03What to do?
263/264 610.42-611.74 n 这里是工业党视角,09-07 11:18:02-09-07 11:18:04Here is the perspective of the Industrial Party.
264/264 611.98-612.76 n 我们下期见。09-07 11:18:02-09-07 11:18:04See you next time.